The
Foreign Currency Exchange market, also referred to as "FOREX" market
is the world's largest and most liquefied market. On average, the trades of more than $1.9
trillion are being executed per day in this market. This figure is confirmed by
Bank for International Settlements abbreviated as "BIS". The main
contributors to this huge amount of trade are banks, federal governments and
several large institutions. For example, the FOREX trading giant NYSE (The New
York Stock Exchange) group has a daily average trade turnover of $86.6 billion.
Overall FOREX trade industry is constantly growing and it's average growth per
year is 18.4%, from 1989 till present.
But the
biggest dilemma of this market is that almost ninety percent of the new FOREX
traders lose all their invested money just after three months of trading. There
are several factors that are among the causes of this loss such as low trading
skill set or use of inefficient automated tools. There has been a big debate
regarding whether to go for the option of manual trading and using your own
muscles to handle all the trading or to incorporate an automated FOREX trading
system. Both of these approaches have their own pros and cons which will be
thoroughly discussed in the following content.
Pros and Cons of Automated Trading Systems or Expert Advisors
Cons
·
While using automated FOREX trading system,
you can never ignore the chances of system failure. System can crash, internet connection
can be lost and all these realities can result in much bigger financial losses.
·
An automated trading EA robot also requires
regular monitoring due to the possibilities such as mechanical failures, power
losses, internet connection problems and computer crashes. Also, such systems
can experience anomalies that can result in the placement of wrong orders as
well as missing or duplicate orders. If such things are not carefully
monitored, big unrecoverable financial losses can be encountered.
·
This is often the case that these systems
looks tremendously well on paper but in actual live market, they perform really
worse. This problem is commonly seen in over-optimized systems incorporating
excessive curve-fitting to achieve extra ordinary results on historical data.
Pros
·
Automated trading is performed by computers.
Nowadays, computer technology has matured up to reasonable extent and provides
high degree of accuracy. Automated systems can perform calculations thousand
times faster than humans with more accuracy. Also, computers have much enhanced
memory and they are capable of storing heavy amount of relevant
information/data which can be helpful in predicting the future price of the
currencies.
·
They take all the emotions and fear out of
trading. An automated system can never be deceived due to greed, hesitation and
fear. It just kept on performing trade without any psychological issues. It has
a set criteria and predefined rules for trading which are time tested and
accurate. Such systems completely eliminates the risk of wrong decisions based
on panic state of mind.
·
Automated trade systems can trade round the
clock without any weariness and negligence. EA robots set their owners from the
restriction of sitting in front the computer most of the time. All the trader
needs is an effective and reliable trade system and then he or she can enjoy
the fruits of the trading without any labor and stress. Such a system enables
its owner to focus on making better and more efficient trade strategies rather
than sitting in front of the computer and keep watching the fluctuating
currency prices.
Human Weaknesses
There are few weaknesses that have strong impact on the human trading activity and a trader must pay attention to overcome these issues if he/she wants to be successful in FOREX trading. However, the critics of manual trading often use these human weaknesses as arguments and justification for the use of automated trading systems.
Greed
Greed is considered to be the biggest weakness of human beings or at least most of the humans on earth. This is often the case that a trader is getting handsome profit on a particular trade but he or she doesn't liquidate the position because of natural desire of earning more and more. But as the market is volatile, it quickly turns that favorable trade position into negative one and the trade who was in position to get reasonable profit on that trade few moments ago, starts facing threat of losing a huge amount of money. Such incidents happens again and again in FOREX trading thus incurring more and more loss to the traders on regular basis.
Fear
Without any doubt, every human on this earth have fear. In the world of trading, currency rate often move hundreds of points in very short time. Only a limited people are capable of predicting the direction in which market will move. All traders use some degree of leverage to trade, which enhances the profit or loss level up to 50 times or even 500 times. Although, leverage is a terrific feature but it also created a lot of fear in the heart of the trader because everybody knows that if market turns against them, it can cause extremely big losses. It is due to this pressure that people often take wrong decisions, especially in cases the market is going against them. In such situations, traders often go for the option of stop loss or cut loss quite early but after a short while, they starts regretting their decision.
Weariness
People can't work round the clock, without any rest or sleep. Everyone needs to take rest and have several other things or issues to manage, thus it's not possible to remain present and available all the time until the liquidation of the trade. This can also cause serious losses to the trader if market goes volatile in the absence of the trader.
Human's Strengths
Brain
The
main strength of the human is brain. Humans can take into account all the
happenings around the globe before making any trade related decision and
therefore they can employ both technical and fundamental analysis to make a
more perfect decision as far as FOREX trading is concerned.
Knowledge of Current Affairs
Humans have knowledge of current affairs and their effect on the FOREX trading. This knowledge enables humans to take much better decision regarding the future prices of the currencies.
Conclusion
Both automated EA robots and manual trading have several benefits and disadvantages. But without any doubt, manual trading is the proper way to go. The decisions of automated systems are based solely on technical analysis and the accuracy of their predictions or trade decisions varies from time to time. Automated systems or robots doesn't possess a brain similar to the one humans have thus they can't conduct fundamental analysis and therefore it is not possible for such systems to take into account the various big incidents that are taking place in various parts of the world that can have significant impact on the FOREX market.